Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 34

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free


	Red Star		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.15	Watch
	1.83	3.86	4.52
	1.79	3.65	4.35	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.76	3.75	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.03)	3.68 ↑ (3.21)	4.3 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
52.7%

Draw
25.5%

Montpellier
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.3%	6.7%	5%

Red Star - Montpellier Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Montpellier (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (53 of 60 users predict this - 88.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.21% – 96.45%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Star will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 5. Escartin J. 3. Huard M. 2. Magnin T. 4. Pierret B. 27. Danger B. 98. Hachem R. (C) 7. Durand D. 23. Ikanga J. 91. Cabral K.	31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. (C) 23. Mouanga Y. 21. Mincarelli L. 44. Chennahi T. 8. Issoufou Y. 6. Jullien C. 20. Homssa N. 14. Molebe E. 18. Pays N.
Substitutes
9. Ba P. M. 29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 81. Haag G. 21. Hachem A. 10. Khaoui S. E. 22. Sylla D.	3. El Hannach N. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 7. Mbuku N. 1. Michel M. (G) 17. Sainte-Luce T. 11. Savanier T. 39. Thiland Herard R.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Tchato E. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Cabral K. ⚽, Ikanga J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Molebe E. ↓, Thiland Herard R. ↑,
60', Mincarelli L. ↓, Sainte-Luce T. ↑,
61', Homssa N. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
61', Escartin J. 🟨,
64', Cabral K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
64', Ikanga J. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
68', Durand D. ↓, Haag G. ↑,
72', Tchato E. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,
73', Jullien C. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
79', Hachem R. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
79', Magnin T. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Pays N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Red Star is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Montpellier's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Red Star is the team to beat.

There will not play in Red Star: Cisse K. (Inactive) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Haag G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Red Card) Gueguin A. (Inactive) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Red Star: 4.92% Montpellier: 4.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
02.05.26	Amiens - Red Star	1:3 ✺
24.04.26	Red Star - Guingamp	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Reims - Red Star	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Red Star - Bastia	4:3 ✺
03.04.26	Red Star - Laval	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWT
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
02.05.26	Montpellier - Clermont	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Amiens - Montpellier	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Montpellier - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Annecy - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Montpellier - Troyes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
09.08.25	Montpellier - Red Star	1:1

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