The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montrose 54.9%
Draw 22.2%
Aberdeen 22.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47%
24.9%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
21.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montrose's performance.
Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aberdeen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montrose that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberdeen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Montrose - Aberdeen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Salvetti B. 🟥,
35', 1 - 0, McDonald K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Brown L. ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 9th in the SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Montrose (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Aberdeen is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Montrose has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Montrose is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Montrose has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:23 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montrose against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:12 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).
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