Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)


	Moquegua		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.9	3.17	3.61
	1.98	3.32	3.88	Watch
	1.87	3.14	4.06
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.54)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	3.63 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
45.8%

Draw
29.1%

Universidad San Martín
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.8%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moquegua's performance.

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad San Martín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Moquegua - Universidad San Martín Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Moquegua will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moquegua: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moquegua will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Figueroa R. (G) 10. Chavez N. 16. Davila A. 30. Granda J. (C) 6. Jimenez J. 23. Jimenez J. 28. Lopez J. 22. Montenegro E. 9. Osorio A. 8. Sanchez D. 5. Vasquez J.	1. Cavagna A. (G) 17. Caicedo J. 8. Carranza T. 30. Cornejo S. 6. Cortes S. 4. Cuba R. 5. Flores B. 29. Ismodes D. (C) 3. Minaya D. 26. Reyes D. 13. Vega C.
Substitutes
11. Centurion L. 90. Collazos J. 18. Cuero J. 7. Lasso C. 1. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 24. Moreno K. 14. Ramirez C. 4. Rivera B. 19. Santibanez S.	90. Alfageme A. 58. Aliaga J. (G) 18. Arteaga A. 19. Chumpitaz I. 11. Matzuda M. 10. Sanchez J. 23. Vargas R. 39. Vera F. 9. Zeta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Chavez N. ⚽,
21', Cornejo S. ↓, Arteaga A. ↑,
45+3', 2 - 0, Chavez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Ismodes D. 🟨,
67', Chavez N. 🟨,
67', Carranza T. ↓, Chumpitaz I. ↑,
71', Osorio A. ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Uni San Martín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Moquegua won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
26.04.25	Moquegua - Comerciantes Belén	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Cantolao - Moquegua	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Moquegua - Santos	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	0:3 ✺
02.09.24	Moquegua - Carlos Stein	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWLWW
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
27.04.25	Universidad San Martín - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Comerciantes Belén - Universidad San Martín	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Universidad San Martín - Unión Comercio	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Cantolao - Universidad San Martín	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
07.09.24	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	0:3
12.08.24	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	1:1
24.06.24	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	2:2
28.04.24	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	1:1

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