Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 12

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Universidad San Martín		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.17	3.37	2.9
				Watch
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.24	3.15	3.15
	2.11	3.18	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.09)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
41.9%

Draw
28.8%

Moquegua
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Universidad San Martín - Moquegua Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Moquegua (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moquegua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cavagna A. (G) 18. Arteaga A. 8. Carranza T. 19. Chumpitaz I. 4. Cuba R. 5. Flores B. 28. Huacachin D. 29. Ismodes D. 11. Matzuda M. 10. Sanchez J. 39. Vera F.	29. Figueroa R. (G) 11. Centurion L. 10. Chavez N. 90. Collazos J. 16. Davila A. 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 23. Jimenez J. 22. Montenegro E. 8. Sanchez D. 5. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
90. Alfageme A. 58. Aliaga J. (G) 17. Caicedo J. 26. Reyes D. 21. Romero J. 25. Ruiz H. 23. Vargas R. 13. Vega C.	18. Cuero J. 7. Lasso C. 28. Lopez J. 24. Moreno K. 14. Ramirez C. 4. Rivera B. 19. Santibanez S. 49. Valladares G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟥,
50', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
76', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Recent performances by Uni San Martín have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moquegua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Uni San Martín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uni San Martín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni San Martín won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
14.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Universidad San Martín	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Universidad San Martín - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Coopsol	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Santos - Universidad San Martín	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
14.06.25	Comerciantes Belén - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Moquegua - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Santos - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Moquegua - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
04.05.25	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	3:1
07.09.24	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	0:3
12.08.24	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	1:1
24.06.24	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	2:2
28.04.24	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	1:1

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