Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TD +, TDMAX


	Moravia		Aserrí

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	1.7	3.45	4	Watch
	1.7	3.77	4.02
	1.88	3.66	3.77
	1.62	3.75	4.1
	1.74	3.79	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.33)	3.6 ↑ (3.17)	3.85 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moravia
51.1%

Draw
25.3%

Aserrí
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moravia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moravia's performance.

Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aserrí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moravia than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moravia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aserrí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moravia - Aserrí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Moravia (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Aserrí is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Moravia
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.09.26	Guadalupe - Moravia	0:3 ✺
14.09.26	Pitbulls - Moravia	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Moravia - Santa Ana	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Moravia	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Moravia - Cariari Pococí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL
- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
20.09.26	Aserrí - Santa Ana	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Carmelita - Aserrí	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Aserrí - Pitbulls	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWTWT

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