The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreland City 15.7%
Draw 16.7%
Essendon Royals 67.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
19.5%
61%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
19%
62.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Essendon Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Essendon Royals's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Royals than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Moreland City - Essendon Royals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Moreland City is Relegated to
Essendon Royals is Qualified for Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Moreland City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Essendon Royals is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Essendon Royals may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Essendon Royals has had a series of home games.
In this match, Essendon Royals is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Essendon Royals will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moreland City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.