Match Info
Victoria Premier League 2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 11 September 2026, Friday
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 |
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Essendon Royals |
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Keilor Park |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.63 |
4.00 |
3.90 |
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 |
1.72 |
3.85 |
3.60 |
|
 |
1.62 |
4.13 |
3.95 |
|
 |
1.64 |
4.51 |
3.89 |
Watch |
 |
1.60 |
4.05 |
3.90 |
|
 |
1.70 |
4.47 |
3.71 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↑ (1.57) |
4.17 ↑ (4.1) |
3.83 ↓ (4.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Essendon Royals 54.7% | Draw 21.7% | Keilor Park 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Essendon Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Keilor Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Essendon Royals than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Park than the current prediction. (-2.7%)Essendon Royals - Keilor Park Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play. Essendon Royals will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Essendon Royals won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).Including home match between the teams, Essendon Royals won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;