Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 23

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday


	Moreland City		Heidelberg United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	4.5	1.55
	6	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6	4.84	1.44
	5.86	4.7	1.47	Watch
	6	4.6	1.36
	6.08	4.5	1.41	Watch
	5.4	4.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (4.64)	4.61 ↑ (4.1)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreland City
16.2%

Draw
19.9%

Heidelberg United
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

22.2%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

21.8%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidelberg United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Moreland City - Heidelberg United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreland City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
13.07.24	Manningham United - Moreland City	3:3 ✺
06.07.24	Moreland City - Hume City	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Dandenong City - Moreland City	7:1 ✺
21.06.24	Melbourne Knights - Moreland City	6:0 ✺
15.06.24	Moreland City - St Albans Dinamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
12.07.24	Heidelberg United - Melbourne Knights	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	St Albans Dinamo - Heidelberg United	1:0 ✺
28.06.24	Heidelberg United - Avondale	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Heidelberg United - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Heidelberg United - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
19.04.24	Heidelberg United - Moreland City	3:2
29.07.23	Moreland City - Heidelberg United	2:1
28.04.23	Heidelberg United - Moreland City	0:0

Moreland City - Heidelberg United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide