Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 21

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday


	Moreland City		Hume City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	4.6	1.47
	5	4.75	1.45	Watch
	5.33	5.27	1.48
	5.41	4.99	1.47	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.44
	5.5	4.55	1.44	Watch
	5.2	4.7	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↓ (7.21)	4.77 ↓ (5.3)	1.46 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreland City
17.5%

Draw
19.3%

Hume City
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

17.2%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

16.4%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Hume City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hume City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreland City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hume City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Moreland City - Hume City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moreland City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hume City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Constantinou P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Isgrove L. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Moreland City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hume City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreland City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hume City is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moreland City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreland City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreland City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
28.06.24	Dandenong City - Moreland City	7:1 ✺
21.06.24	Melbourne Knights - Moreland City	6:0 ✺
15.06.24	Moreland City - St Albans Dinamo	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Avondale - Moreland City	5:1 ✺
01.06.24	Moreland City - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLLT
- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
29.06.24	Hume City - Melbourne Knights	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	St Albans Dinamo - Hume City	0:3 ✺
15.06.24	Avondale - Hume City	5:0 ✺
08.06.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Hume City	0:3 ✺
01.06.24	Hume City - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
06.04.24	Hume City - Moreland City	3:2
01.07.23	Hume City - Moreland City	3:2
01.04.23	Moreland City - Hume City	2:5

Moreland City - Hume City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide