Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 14

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Melbourne Srbija		Kingston City

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	3.4
	1.77	4.2	3.35
	1.91	4.34	3.43
	1.76	4.41	3.4	Watch
	1.75	4.15	3.5
	1.77	4.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)	4.2 ↑ (3.99)	3.41 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Srbija
51.3%

Draw
21.8%

Kingston City
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

22.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

21.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Srbija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Kingston City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Srbija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston City than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kingston City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melbourne Srbija - Kingston City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kingston City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent form of Melbourne Srbija has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kingston City has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kingston City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Melbourne Srbija could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melbourne Srbija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
10.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Bulleen Lions	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Melbourne Srbija	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Melbourne Srbija - Langwarrin	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Western United U21 - Melbourne Srbija	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Srbija	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Kingston City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
09.05.25	Eastern Lions - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
05.05.25	Kingston City - Melbourne City Youth	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	Moreland City - Kingston City	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Kingston City - Northcote City	1:3 ✺
04.04.25	Bentleigh Greens - Kingston City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
10.02.25	Kingston City - Melbourne Srbija	3:2

Melbourne Srbija - Kingston City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide