Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 15

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Moreland City

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.6	4.8
	1.5	4.7	4.5
	1.5	5.27	4.63
	1.49	5.07	4.51	Watch
	1.5	4.33	4.8
	1.45	4.75	5.04
	1.5	4.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)	4.77 ↓ (4.87)	4.68 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
61.4%

Draw
19.1%

Moreland City
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

18.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

17.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Moreland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northcote City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Northcote City - Moreland City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Warde S. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Nassis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Northcote City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moreland City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Northcote City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Northcote City is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Northcote City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
17.05.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Northcote City	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Manningham United - Northcote City	2:2 ✺
25.04.25	Northcote City - Brunswick City	4:1 ✺
14.04.25	Kingston City - Northcote City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWW
- Moreland City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
16.05.25	Moreland City - Bentleigh Greens	2:3 ✺
09.05.25	Moreland City - Manningham United	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Brunswick City - Moreland City	3:2 ✺
25.04.25	Moreland City - Kingston City	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Bulleen Lions - Moreland City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
14.02.25	Moreland City - Northcote City	0:1

Northcote City - Moreland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide