Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL QUEENSLAND - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Moreton Bay United		Brisbane City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.1
	2.86	3.9	2.19
	2.8	3.6	2.1
	2.8	3.85	2.13	Watch
	2.75	3.85	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.38)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	2.13 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton Bay United
32.5%

Draw
24.6%

Brisbane City
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreton Bay United's form might have worsened.

Brisbane City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreton Bay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane City than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreton Bay won 3.

Recent matches Moreton Bay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brisbane City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moreton Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Moreton Bay won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreton Bay won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
26.08.23	Queensland Lions - Moreton Bay United	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Moreton Bay United - Peninsula Power	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Brisbane Roar Youth - Moreton Bay United	0:3 ✺
Australian Cup
10.08.23	Moreton Bay United - Heidelberg United	0:3 ✺
Australian NPL Queensland
28.07.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLW
- Brisbane City
Australian NPL Queensland
03.09.23	Brisbane City - Queensland Lions	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Brisbane City - Gold Coast United	4:1 ✺
20.08.23	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Brisbane City	1:2 ✺
11.08.23	Redlands United - Brisbane City	2:2 ✺
28.07.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
28.07.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	3:2
30.04.23	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	2:2
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	2:0
Australian NPL Queensland
10.07.22	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	1:2
09.04.22	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	0:2
Club Friendly
13.02.21	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	4:5
Australian NPL Queensland
07.11.20	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	2:1

Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide