Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AUSTRALIA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday


	Moreton Bay United		Heidelberg United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	2.63	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.7
	2.15	3.4	2.8
	2.31	3.34	2.64
	2.15	3.6	2.7
	2.33	4.05	2.62	Watch
	2.11	3.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.63)	3.63 ↓ (4.28)	2.69 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton Bay United
41.4%

Draw
25%

Heidelberg United
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

21.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

20.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreton Bay United's form might have worsened.

Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidelberg United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreton Bay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidelberg United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Moreton Bay United - Heidelberg United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Moreton Bay will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Moreton Bay is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heidelberg United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Heidelberg United have a series of guest games.

Moreton Bay will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
28.07.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	3:2 ✺
23.07.23	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Moreton Bay United	3:2 ✺
15.07.23	Moreton Bay United - Redlands United	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast United	2:2 ✺
24.06.23	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton Bay United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTW
- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
29.07.23	Moreland City - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	North Geelong Warriors - Heidelberg United	0:0 ✺
15.07.23	Heidelberg United - Avondale	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Altona Magic - Heidelberg United	3:2 ✺
01.07.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - Heidelberg United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTTLL

Moreton Bay United - Heidelberg United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide