Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 5

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Wolter Park (Brisbane)


	Moreton City Excelsior		Rochedale Rovers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.6	5.25
	1.52	4.35	4.35	Watch
	1.66	4.67	3.99
	1.43	5.6	5.25	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4
	1.66	4.74	3.89	Watch
	1.33	4.75	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.39)	4.7 ↓ (5)	4.69 ↓ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior
60.6%

Draw
19.7%

Rochedale Rovers
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.6%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton City Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreton City Excelsior's form might have worsened.

Rochedale Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochedale Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

Moreton City Excelsior - Rochedale Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 10)

Rochedale Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moreton City is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Moreton City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton City Excelsior
Australian NPL Queensland
06.03.26	Wynnum Wolves - Moreton City Excelsior	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Brisbane City - Moreton City Excelsior	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Gold Coast Knights	4:1 ✺
Australian Championship
28.11.25	Marconi Stallions - Moreton City Excelsior	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Avondale - Moreton City Excelsior	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWLW
- Rochedale Rovers
Australian NPL Queensland
14.03.26	Rochedale Rovers - Brisbane Roar U23	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Rochedale Rovers - Queensland Lions	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Rochedale Rovers - Gold Coast United	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Rochedale Rovers - Wynnum Wolves	0:3 ✺
Australian Queensland Premier League
12.09.25	Magic United - Rochedale Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
17.08.24	Rochedale Rovers - Moreton City Excelsior	1:3
19.05.24	Moreton City Excelsior - Rochedale Rovers	2:0

Moreton City Excelsior - Rochedale Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide