Match Info

Australian Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SBS On Demand
Hong-kong	HOY TV


	Marconi Stallions		Moreton City Excelsior

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.65	4.13	4.55
	1.79	4.18	3.66	Watch
	1.69	3.99	4.43	Watch
	1.64	4.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)	4.14 ↑ (4.1)	4.29 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marconi Stallions
55.4%

Draw
22.7%

Moreton City Excelsior
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

22.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

22.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marconi Stallions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Moreton City Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marconi Stallions than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (+2%)

Marconi Stallions - Moreton City Excelsior Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Marconi Stallions (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marconi Stallions (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Marconi Stallions is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Moreton City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marconi Stallions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marconi Stallions is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marconi Stallions
Australian Championship
21.11.25	Wests APIA - Marconi Stallions	1:2 penalties ✺
14.11.25	Wollongong Wolves - Marconi Stallions	5:0 ✺
08.11.25	South Hobart - Marconi Stallions	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Marconi Stallions - Heidelberg United	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Marconi Stallions - Wollongong Wolves	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWTW
- Moreton City Excelsior
Australian Championship
21.11.25	Avondale - Moreton City Excelsior	1:3 ✺
14.11.25	Moreton City Excelsior - South Melbourne	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Sydney Olympic - Moreton City Excelsior	3:3 ✺
01.11.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Broadmeadow Magic	5:1 ✺
25.10.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Sydney Olympic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marconi Stallions
Australian Championship
24.10.26	Marconi Stallions - Oakleigh Cannons	✺

Marconi Stallions - Moreton City Excelsior: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide