The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queensland Lions 42.4%
Draw 25.1%
Moreton City Excelsior 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
23.8%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
24.7%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queensland Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2.
Lions is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Moreton City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Lions is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lions won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Queensland Lions - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.8%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Australia
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