Match Info

NPL Queensland U23 - Round 19

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Moreton City Excelsior U23		Peninsula Power U23

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.25	5.50
	1.35	5.15	5.5
	1.31	5.41	5.91
	1.36	5.56	5.86
	1.29	5.35	5.85
	1.37	5.73	5.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)	5.41 ↑ (4.5)	5.73 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior U23
67.5%

Draw
16.7%

Peninsula Power U23
15.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

19.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

19.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton City Excelsior U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreton City Excelsior U23's performance.

Peninsula Power U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior U23 than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreton City Excelsior U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peninsula Power U23 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Peninsula Power U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Moreton City U23 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Peninsula U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Moreton City U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moreton City U23 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Moreton City U23 will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton City Excelsior U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
14.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Queensland State Team U17	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Magic United U23	6:1 ✺
03.07.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2:5 ✺
27.06.26	Gold Coast United U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Peninsula Power U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
11.07.26	Peninsula Power U23 - Wynnum Wolves U23	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Eastern Suburbs U23 - Peninsula Power U23	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	Queensland State Team U17 - Peninsula Power U23	3:4 ✺
28.06.26	Peninsula Power U23 - Queensland State Team U17	3:5
21.06.26	Olympic FC U20 - Peninsula Power U23	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LTWLW

Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Peninsula Power U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Peninsula Power U23 Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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