Match Info

MONTENEGRO: PRVA CRNOGORSKA LIGA - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 30 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Topolica (Bar)

Referee: Vujovic S. (Mne)


	Mornar Bar		Berane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.53	10.64
	1.32	4.55	9.2
	1.27	4.7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.65)	4.59 ↑ (3.58)	10.28 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
71.1%

Draw
20%

Berane
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mornar Bar's performance.

Berane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Berane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mornar Bar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berane than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Berane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Popovic S. (G) 55. Baosic J. 27. Beqiraj F. 7. Cetkovic M. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 32. Ljutica V. 23. Michael R. 25. Raicevic M. 21. Skrijelj D. 2. Stevanovic S. 3. Vukotic B.	96. Becic E. (G) 17. Cadjenovic S. 6. Cetkovic B. 22. Jeknic V. 16. Luccas Barreto 8. Mukovic F. 3. Perosevic M. 25. Rendulic J. 23. Stojanovic L. 24. Tmusic N. (C) 15. Vučinić V.
Substitutes
1. Akovic Z. (G) 8. Bozanovic M. 17. Cvijovic A. 20. Gazivoda S. 11. Habibovic E. 10. Kacic B. 15. Lambulic L. 97. Seratlic E. 36. Tripkovic O.	29. Babovic F. (G) 11. Magdelinic D. 5. Mugosa J. 9. Racic D. 10. Tmusic N. 19. Vujacic M. 20. Vukicevic D. 21. Vukovic I. 7. Vulevic V.
Coaches
Duraskovic Z.	Radulovic M.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 1.

Recent matches Mornar Bar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berane is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Berane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mornar Bar is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Mornar Bar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin First League
25.05.23	Mornar Bar - Budućnost Podgorica	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Petrovac - Mornar Bar	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Mornar Bar - Jezero	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Mornar Bar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWWL
- FK Berane
Montenegrin Druga Liga
21.05.23	Igalo - Berane	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Bokelj - Berane	1:0 ✺
10.05.23	Berane - Mladost Donja Gorica	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Otrant - Berane	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Berane - Kom Podgorica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Druga Liga
14.04.21	Berane - Mornar Bar	1:1
29.11.20	Mornar Bar - Berane	0:0
07.10.20	Berane - Mornar Bar	3:0
Montenegrin First League
09.05.15	Berane - Mornar Bar	2:2
25.10.14	Berane - Mornar Bar	2:3
09.08.14	Mornar Bar - Berane	5:1

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