The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Petrovac 36.8%
Draw 33%
Mornar Bar 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
31.2%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
32.5%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Petrovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mornar Bar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrovac than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Petrovac - Mornar Bar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Kordic M. (G) 8. Bakic D. 33. Boljevic D. (C) 10. Carevic N. 18. Ficovic S. 5. Kapisoda A. 44. Merdovic M. 22. Miranovic D. 7. Selimi T. 99. Strikovic V. 11. Vukcevic I.
13. Stojanovic V. (G) 15. Baosic J. 17. Dasic J. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 32. Ljutica V. 6. Martinovic I. 10. Skrijelj D. 9. Soussi A. 33. Stijepovic N. 97. Vukcevic P. 11. Yao Y.
Substitutes
14. Balevic N. 20. Divanovic Z. 27. Fabris D. 23. Gjelaj R. 30. Janjic N. 1. Licina S. (G) 4. Obradovic O. 29. Pesukic D. 15. Scekic L.
3. Cukovic M. 5. Dakic D. 99. Dragovic V. 1. Dubljevic R. (G) 20. Medojevic N. 25. Milosevic B. 16. Mitrovic F. 21. Rovcanin M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Baosic J. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Soussi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Vukcevic I. ↓, Divanovic Z. ↑,
55', Bakic D. ↓, Janjic N. ↑,
69', Skrijelj D. ↓, Rovcanin M. ↑,
69', Yao Y. ↓, Dragovic V. ↑,
73', Carevic N. ↓, Balevic N. ↑,
73', Ficovic S. ↓, Pesukic D. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', Dasic J. ↓, Mitrovic F. ↑,
85', Miranovic D. ↓, Fabris D. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Petrovac won 0.
Recent form of Petrovac has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Mornar Bar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mornar Bar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Petrovac won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Petrovac won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Mornar Bar
10
3
5
2
12:10
2
14
9
Petrovac
9
1
5
3
7:9
-2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Mornar Bar - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Kordic M. (G) 
Ficovic S. 
Selimi T. 
Soussi A. 
Yao Y. 
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