Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday


	Mornar Bar		Igalo

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.55	5.2
	1.51	3.75	5.96
	1.55	3.62	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.75)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	5.49 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
58.9%

Draw
24.7%

Igalo
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

21.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mornar Bar's performance.

Igalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mornar Bar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igalo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Preview

Mornar Bar in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Igalo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mornar Bar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mornar Bar is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mornar Bar to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin Druga Liga
28.04.21	Arsenal Tivat - Mornar Bar	0:4 ✺
24.04.21	Mornar Bar - Kom Podgorica	4:0 ✺
18.04.21	Grbalj Radanovici - Mornar Bar	1:2 ✺
14.04.21	Berane - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Mornar Bar - Bokelj	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTW
- FK Igalo
Montenegrin Druga Liga
18.04.21	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Igalo	3:1 ✺
14.04.21	Arsenal Tivat - Igalo	0:0 ✺
10.04.21	Igalo - Kom Podgorica	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Grbalj Radanovici - Igalo	0:2 ✺
31.03.21	Igalo - Berane	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Druga Liga
21.03.21	Igalo - Mornar Bar	1:0
13.09.20	Igalo - Mornar Bar	2:2
15.03.18	Igalo - Mornar Bar	0:1

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