What is the expert prediction for Mornar Bar vs Radnički 1923?

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Mornar Bar vs Radnički 1923 Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, July 31, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: DG Arena (Podgorica)

Referee: Leibovitz G. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Montenegro	TVCG 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2


	Mornar Bar		Radnički 1923

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.73
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	4.54	3.9	1.78
	4.34	3.7	1.77	Watch
	4.46	3.72	1.75	Watch
	4.3	3.75	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (4.04)	3.7 ↓ (3.77)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
21.5%

Draw
25.3%

Radnički 1923
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

24.4%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

23%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Radnički 1923 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Mornar Bar aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički 1923 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mornar Bar will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Radnički 1923 will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički 1923: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Popovic S. (G) 2. Stevanovic S. 16. Mitrovic F. 15. Baosic J. 33. Vukotic B. 23. Dubljevic B. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 8. Djurisic M. 18. Zoric D. 55. Ondong-Mba C. 20. Vusurovic M.	81. Lijeskic L. (G) 8. Cosic M. 14. Simovic S. (C) 5. Serbecic B. 50. Dadic T. 6. Zeljkovic S. 27. Ristic M. 70. Aleksic M. 7. Gluscevic M. 55. Vidosavljevic M. 10. Bevis K.
Substitutes
7. Cetkovic M. 10. Kishi K. 11. Kolundzic A. 32. Ljutica V. 1. Pavlicic D. (G) 94. Perovic L. 97. Seratlic E. 80. Trifunovic V. 9. Vujacic A. 17. Vukovic N.	23. Adzic B. 32. Bukumira N. 3. Bulatovic V. 11. Evandro 30. Milojevic L. 88. Milovanovic P. (G) 44. Mircetic B. 9. Ortiz D. 22. Rosevic M. 77. Sahli O.
Coaches
Medigovic S.	Dudic F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Mitrovic F. 🟨,
33', Dubljevic B. ↓, Kishi K. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Ondong-Mba C. ⚽, Zoric D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Baosic J. 🟨,
60', Serbecic B. ↓, Evandro ↑,
60', Gluscevic M. ↓, Sahli O. ↑,
63', Vukotic B. ↓, Seratlic E. ↑,
63', Zoric D. ↓, Cetkovic M. ↑,
74', Baosic J. ↓, Ljutica V. ↑,
77', Bevis K. 🟨,
77', Kaludjerovic A. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Ondong-Mba C. ⚽, Stevanovic S. (A),
84', Bevis K. ↓, Rosevic M. ↑,
89', Cosic M. ↓, Adzic B. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 1, Aleksic M. ⚽, Rosevic M. (A),
90+10', Baosic J. 🟥,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Sahli O. 🟨,
97', Stevanovic S. ↓, Vukovic N. ↑,
98', Vusurovic M. ↓, Trifunovic V. ↑,
99', Dadic T. 🟨,
109', Sahli O. ↓, Bukumira N. ↑,
112', Vukovic N. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Evandro (Pen),
1, Djurisic M. (Pen),
2, Ristic M. (Pen),
2, Cetkovic M. (Pen),
3, Simovic S. (Pen),
3, Kishi K. (Pen),
4, Aleksic M. (Pen),
4, Kaludjerovic A. (Pen),
5, Vidosavljevic M. (Pen),
5, Mitrovic F. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - DG Arena. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Mornar Bar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Radnički 1923 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Mornar Bar have a series of guest games.

Recently Radnički 1923 have a series of home games.

In this match Radnički 1923 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Radnički 1923 - Mornar Bar	1:0 ✺
18.07.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
11.07.24	Mornar Bar - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.24	OFK Beograd - Mornar Bar	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Budućnost Podgorica - Mornar Bar	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWTL
- Radnički 1923
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Radnički 1923 - Mornar Bar	1:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
19.07.24	Radnički 1923 - Železničar Pančevo	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Radnički 1923 - Mladost Lučani	4:0 ✺
09.07.24	Radnički 1923 - APOEL	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Radnički 1923 - Sloga Doboj	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Radnički 1923 - Mornar Bar	1:0

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