Match Info

MONTENEGRO: Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 34

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Topolica (Bar)

Referee: Cvijovic N. (Mne)


	Mornar Bar		Rudar Pljevlja

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	9
	1.25	5	10	Watch
	1.26	4.5	10.07
	1.3	5.5	7
	1.32	5.3	7.26
	1.27	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)	5.05 ↑ (4.3)	8.89 ↑ (7.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
71.6%

Draw
18.1%

Rudar Pljevlja
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21.7%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

20.8%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mornar Bar's performance.

Rudar Pljevlja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Pljevlja than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Popovic S. (G) 15. Baosic J. 7. Cetkovic M. 23. Dubljevic B. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 32. Ljutica V. 55. Ondong-Mba C. 97. Seratlic E. 21. Skrijelj D. 17. Vukovic N. 20. Vusurovic M.	12. Vuksanovic M. (G) 23. Appiah B. 26. Bakrac M. 25. Bogdanovic P. 2. Bulatovic A. 15. Cepic A. 21. Golubovic A. 8. Knezevic L. 17. Muhovic J. 30. Pupovic A. 10. Zecevic M. (C)
Substitutes
1. Boljevic R. (G) 8. Djurisic M. 3. Imamovic A. 10. Kishi K. 16. Mitrovic F. 19. Nikolic D. 99. Racic D. 25. Raicevic M. 9. Vujacic A.	55. Becovic S. (G) 98. Kasalica O. 20. Okamoto I. 19. Popovic S. 6. Pupovic A. 31. Radanovic B. (G) 22. Uksanovic N.
Coaches
Duraskovic Z.	Vlaisavljevic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Vusurovic M. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Ondong-Mba C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
86', 3 - 0, Raicevic M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 3.

Mornar Bar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rudar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mornar Bar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mornar Bar is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Mornar Bar won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin First League
04.05.24	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Mornar Bar	3:4 ✺
27.04.24	Mornar Bar - Dečić Tuzi	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Arsenal Tivat - Mornar Bar	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Mornar Bar - Mladost Donja Gorica	5:1 ✺
07.04.24	Sutjeska - Mornar Bar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWL
- Rudar Pljevlja
Montenegrin Cup
08.05.24	Rudar Pljevlja - Budućnost Podgorica	0:0 ✺
Montenegrin First League
04.05.24	Rudar Pljevlja - Dečić Tuzi	0:4 ✺
27.04.24	Mladost Donja Gorica - Rudar Pljevlja	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Rudar Pljevlja - Petrovac	1:0 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
17.04.24	Budućnost Podgorica - Rudar Pljevlja	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
13.03.24	Rudar Pljevlja - Mornar Bar	0:0
13.11.23	Mornar Bar - Rudar Pljevlja	2:1
03.09.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Mornar Bar	0:0
09.04.23	Mornar Bar - Rudar Pljevlja	2:0
18.02.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Mornar Bar	0:1
09.10.22	Mornar Bar - Rudar Pljevlja	2:2
30.07.22	Rudar Pljevlja - Mornar Bar	1:0

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