The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mornar Bar 30.9%
Draw 33.1%
Sutjeska 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
28.9%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
30.6%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mornar Bar's form might have worsened.
Sutjeska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mornar Bar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Mornar Bar - Sutjeska Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Krijestarac B. (G) 15. Baosic J. 17. Dasic J. 7. Denkovic S. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 32. Ljutica V. 25. Martinovic I. 9. Sekulic B. 10. Skrijelj D. 33. Stijepovic N. 18. Zoric D.
1. Giljen V. (C) 9. Anicic P. 72. Babic A. 20. Cadjenovic J. 24. Cavor V. 44. Hocko D. 15. Kopitovic B. 22. Raznatovic A. 19. Simun M. 4. Vracar M. 7. Vukcevic I.
Substitutes
8. Djurisic M. 99. Dragovic V. 12. Popovic S. (G) 21. Rovcanin M. 94. Vlahovic N. 97. Vujnovic N. 19. Vukcevic P. 14. Vukovic N. 11. Yao Y.
6. Dedic R. 2. Golubovic A. 88. Jukovic M. 70. Kalezic V. 30. Kecojevic A. 99. Mrvaljevic M. 5. Pajovic I. 10. Toskovic B. 31. Vukcevic S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Zoric D. ⚽,
10', Martinovic I. 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Raznatovic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mornar Bar won 2.
Mornar Bar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sutjeska is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mornar Bar won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mornar Bar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).