Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Moroka Swallows		Baroka

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.04	2.7	4.2
	2.06	2.95	3.65
	2.08	2.94	4.42
	2.05	2.8	3.9
	2.04	3.04	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.11)	2.89 ↓ (2.92)	3.88 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moroka Swallows
44.4%

Draw
31.9%

Baroka
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

32.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

33.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Moroka Swallows have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Moroka Swallows - Baroka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moroka Swallows will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Baroka will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Premier League (Promotion Group) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Moroka Swallows has the most likely position - 15 (53.48%), has project points - 25, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has not chance of qualify for ccl.

Baroka has the most likely position - 16 (80.93%), has project points - 20, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has not chance of qualify for ccl.

This event has very small quality 9, importance 57, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The competitors look crappy now.

Baroka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moroka Swallows will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Moroka Swallows won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moroka Swallows
South African Premier Soccer League
17.04.22	Marumo Gallants - Moroka Swallows	1:1 ✺
12.04.22	Durban City - Moroka Swallows	1:1 ✺
06.04.22	Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:4 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
11.03.22	Moroka Swallows - Royal AM	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
06.03.22	Royal AM - Moroka Swallows	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLLL
- Baroka FC
South African Premier Soccer League
12.04.22	Baroka - Orlando Pirates	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
09.04.22	Marumo Gallants - Baroka	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
06.04.22	Baroka - AmaZulu	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Cape Town City - Baroka	5:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
13.03.22	TS Galaxy - Baroka	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
08.12.21	Baroka - Moroka Swallows	0:1
05.06.21	Moroka Swallows - Baroka	1:1
16.01.21	Baroka - Moroka Swallows	0:1

Moroka Swallows - Baroka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide