Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Dobsonville Stadium (Johannesburg)


	Moroka Swallows		Lamontville Golden Arrows

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.38	3.07	3.33
	2.39	3.07	3.33
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.24	3.05	3.25
	2.27	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.11)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	3.3 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moroka Swallows
41.3%

Draw
30.6%

Lamontville Golden Arrows
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

31.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moroka Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lamontville Golden Arrows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moroka Swallows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamontville Golden Arrows than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Moroka Swallows - Lamontville Golden Arrows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 0.

Moroka Swallows is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Golden Arrows has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Golden Arrows could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Golden Arrows have a series of home games.

Moroka Swallows will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Moroka Swallows won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moroka Swallows
South African Premier Soccer League
23.12.23	Royal AM - Moroka Swallows	0:0 ✺
15.12.23	Moroka Swallows - Supersport United	1:2 ✺
05.12.23	Orlando Pirates - Moroka Swallows	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Moroka Swallows - Kaizer Chiefs	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Polokwane City - Moroka Swallows	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT
- Lamontville Golden Arrows
South African Premier Soccer League
23.12.23	Lamontville Golden Arrows - TS Galaxy	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Orlando Pirates	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Chippa United - Lamontville Golden Arrows	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lamontville Golden Arrows - AmaZulu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
05.08.23	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Moroka Swallows	1:1
17.03.23	Moroka Swallows - Lamontville Golden Arrows	0:1
17.09.22	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Moroka Swallows	4:0
22.12.21	Moroka Swallows - Lamontville Golden Arrows	2:2
02.11.21	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Moroka Swallows	0:0
03.04.21	Moroka Swallows - Lamontville Golden Arrows	1:1
05.12.20	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Moroka Swallows	1:1

Moroka Swallows - Lamontville Golden Arrows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide