Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Premier League - Round 28

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Dobsonville Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport


	Moroka Swallows		Stellenbosch

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.75
	4.75	3.4	1.75
	5.22	3.45	1.74
	4.91	3.37	1.81
	4.5	3.3	1.73
	4.6	3.38	1.77	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5.41)	3.39 ↓ (3.59)	1.77 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moroka Swallows
19.9%

Draw
27.4%

Stellenbosch
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

25.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

25.5%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moroka Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Moroka Swallows - Stellenbosch Predictions

Users Predictions: Stellenbosch will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Akpeyi D. (G) 25. Maponya T. 45. Mngonyama K. 24. Sibiya V. 77. Ngqonga N. 10. Mtshali L. 28. Sanou R. 8. Phalane L. 37. Everson J. 11. Mhango G. 21. Khumalo S. P.	17. Stephens S. (G) 7. van Rooyen D. 24. Moloisane T. 45. Toure O. 21. Basadien F. 34. Titus D. 8. Nduli S. 23. Adams J. 14. Oura A. A. 9. Rayners I. 29. van Wyk A.
Substitutes
18. Damons G. 88. Djaha Y. 19. Falakhe T. 14. Khumalo O. 29. Koapeng L. 30. Mbanjwa L. 31. Mbanjwa T. (G) 6. Mthethwa T. 2. Sibiya S.	38. Amponsah P. 11. Colley S. 18. De Jong A. 27. Jurgens K. 30. Masuluke O. (G) 26. Mcaba A. 10. Mgaga N. 28. Palace G. 22. Sibande Q.
Coaches
Kapowezha E.	Barker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Mngonyama K. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Mtshali L. ⚽, Mhango G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Phalane L. ↓, Damons G. ↑,
46', Everson J. ↓, Mthethwa T. ↑,
63', Toure O. 🟨,
65', Oura A. A. ↓, De Jong A. ↑,
66', van Rooyen D. ↓, Palace G. ↑,
66', Nduli S. ↓, Jurgens K. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Mhango G. ⚽,
76', Khumalo S. P. ↓, Mbanjwa L. ↑,
78', Basadien F. ↓, Sibande Q. ↑,
78', Adams J. ↓, Mgaga N. ↑,
89', Mtshali L. ↓, Djaha Y. ↑,
90+1', Mhango G. ↓, Khumalo O. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 1.

Moroka Swallows is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stellenbosch is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stellenbosch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Moroka Swallows have a series of guest games.

Recently Stellenbosch have a series of home games.

In this match Stellenbosch is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Moroka Swallows won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moroka Swallows
South African Premier Soccer League
07.05.24	Cape Town City - Moroka Swallows	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	Chippa United - Moroka Swallows	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	TS Galaxy - Moroka Swallows	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Richards Bay - Moroka Swallows	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLTL
- Stellenbosch FC
South African Premier Soccer League
08.05.24	Stellenbosch - AmaZulu	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
05.05.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
01.05.24	Stellenbosch - Lamontville Golden Arrows	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Stellenbosch - Polokwane City	5:0 ✺
21.04.24	TS Galaxy - Stellenbosch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
19.09.23	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	0:2
22.04.23	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	3:0
South African Nedbank Cup
11.02.23	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	3:0
South African Premier Soccer League
10.09.22	Moroka Swallows - Stellenbosch	1:2
16.02.22	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	1:1
17.10.21	Moroka Swallows - Stellenbosch	1:1
18.05.21	Moroka Swallows - Stellenbosch	0:0

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