Match Info
ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 15Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday
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 |
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Morpeth Town |
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Mickleover Sports |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
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 |
1.94 |
3.55 |
3.3 |
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 |
2.04 |
3.85 |
3.36 |
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 |
1.94 |
3.81 |
3.47 |
 Watch |
 |
1.83 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
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 |
1.9 |
3.58 |
3.41 |
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1.94 |
3.55 |
3.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.27) |
3.62 ↑
(3.25) |
3.32 ↑
(2.81) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Morpeth Town
47.3% | Draw
25.2% | Mickleover Sports
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morpeth Town's performance.Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morpeth Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+4.1%)Morpeth Town - Mickleover Sports Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Marshall W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 72', 2 - 0, Barlow D. ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 0, Dowling W. ⚽,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 15). Morpeth is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Mickleover is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Mickleover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Morpeth will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2.5:0.8). Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 12.03.22 | Morpeth Town - Mickleover Sports | 3:1 | | 09.10.21 | Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town | 0:4 | | 26.09.20 | Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town | 1:2 | | 08.10.19 | Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town | 1:1 |
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