Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.82	3.55	2.1
	2.87	3.68	2.15
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.94	3.36	2.17
	2.37	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.37)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	2.23 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
33.1%

Draw
26.1%

Ilkeston
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morpeth Town's form might have worsened.

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilkeston's recent form is better than expected.

Morpeth Town - Ilkeston Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilkeston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Walker J. (Pen),
31', 0 - 2, Dixon C. ⚽,
43', Henderson J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 2, Giraud C. ⚽,

Preview

Ilkeston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.04.25	Warrington Rylands - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Morpeth Town - Workington	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Stockton Town - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Morpeth Town - Basford United	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Matlock Town - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTTW
- Ilkeston FC
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Basford United - Ilkeston	0:4 ✺
26.07.25	Flint Town United - Ilkeston	0:4 ✺
12.07.25	Ilkeston - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
26.04.25	Bamber Bridge - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Ilkeston - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
18.01.25	Ilkeston - Morpeth Town	4:2
08.10.24	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	1:2
20.04.24	Ilkeston - Morpeth Town	3:2
18.11.23	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	2:1

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