Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Bamber Bridge		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.55	4.15
	1.69	3.85	4.03
	1.71	4.08	4.14	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.2
	1.67	3.74	4.27
	1.72	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	3.65 ↓ (3.81)	4.16 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
53.5%

Draw
24.7%

Morpeth Town
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Morpeth Town aligns with the current prediction.

Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Bollado N. ⚽,
65', 0 - 2, Bone C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 1.

Bamber is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Morpeth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bamber may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bamber is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bamber won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16:31	-15	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Bamber Bridge - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Bamber Bridge - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Rushall Olympic - Bamber Bridge	0:0 ✺
10.02.26	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Morpeth Town - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Workington - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1
22.02.25	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:2
02.11.24	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	1:2
10.02.24	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	1:3
23.09.23	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	3:3
04.04.23	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	1:0
04.10.22	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	1:1

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