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Current Win Probability
Mosconia 52.6%
Draw 28.6%
Ceares 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
27.6%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
26.1%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Mosconia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Mosconia - Ceares Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Fagir I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1.
Mosconia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ceares is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Mosconia is the team to beat.
We predict that Mosconia will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).