Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 24 May 2026, Sunday
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Covadonga |
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Mosconia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.65 |
3.3 |
4.95 |
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 |
1.68 |
3.12 |
5.78 |
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1.20 |
5.34 |
16.76 |
 Watch |
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1.65 |
3.3 |
5 |
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1.62 |
3.15 |
6.06 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.59) |
3.64 ↓
(3.7) |
7.71 ↑
(5.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Covadonga
61.3% | Draw
26.3% | Mosconia
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mosconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Covadonga - Mosconia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 3.Covadonga has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Mosconia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Covadonga is seen as the favorite.We predict that Covadonga will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.5:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 13 |
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| 3 | Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 11 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 | | | 17.05.26 | Mosconia - Covadonga | 0:0 | | 02.04.26 | Mosconia - Covadonga | 1:2 | | 23.11.25 | Covadonga - Mosconia | 1:0 | | 23.02.25 | Mosconia - Covadonga | 1:2 | | 12.10.24 | Covadonga - Mosconia | 1:1 | | 30.03.22 | Mosconia - Covadonga | 2:2 | | 14.11.21 | Covadonga - Mosconia | 1:0 |
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