The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Covadonga 48.2%
Draw 28.3%
Mosconia 23.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
25.6%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.
Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Covadonga - Mosconia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 4.
Mosconia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Covadonga for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Covadonga in today's match, at odds of 1.77.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Covadonga has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 19:8 (averaging 1.6:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Covadonga against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 13:3 goals (averaging 1.9:0.4 per game).