Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Mosconia		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.38	3.15	2.8
	2.31	3.09	2.87
	2.44	3.21	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.23	2.92
	2.38	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.04)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	2.89 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosconia
39.5%

Draw
28.8%

Lealtad
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mosconia's form might have worsened.

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mosconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lealtad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mosconia - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1.

Mosconia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lealtad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mosconia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.04.25	Real Oviedo B - Mosconia	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Mosconia - Real Titánico	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Tuilla - Mosconia	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Mosconia - San Martín	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Caudal Deportivo - Mosconia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TTTWT
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.04.25	Lealtad - Praviano	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Roces - Lealtad	0:5 ✺
06.04.25	Lealtad - Real Oviedo B	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	Real Titánico - Lealtad	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Lealtad - Tuilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.12.24	Lealtad - Mosconia	1:0
23.01.22	Lealtad - Mosconia	1:1
19.09.21	Mosconia - Lealtad	1:0
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Lealtad - Mosconia	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.03.20	Mosconia - Lealtad	2:2
07.10.18	Lealtad - Mosconia	2:0

Mosconia - Lealtad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide