Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Caudal Deportivo		Mosconia

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.35
	1.68	3.41	5.04
	1.74	3.51	4.52	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.8
	1.63	3.36	5.25
	1.66	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.9)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	4.83 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caudal Deportivo
54%

Draw
27.2%

Mosconia
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caudal Deportivo's performance.

Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mosconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Caudal Deportivo - Mosconia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Caudal Deportivo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 4.

Caudal Deportivo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mosconia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Caudal Deportivo is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mosconia	5	3	2	0	8:1	7	11
6	Caudal Deportivo	5	3	1	1	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Ceares - Caudal Deportivo	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Caudal Deportivo - Tuilla	6:1 ✺
04.01.26	Club Siero - Caudal Deportivo	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Caudal Deportivo - Navarro	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Gijón Industrial - Caudal Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWT
- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Mosconia - Club Siero	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mosconia - Navarro	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Gijón Industrial - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Mosconia - Praviano	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lenense - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
14.09.25	Mosconia - Caudal Deportivo	1:2
29.03.25	Caudal Deportivo - Mosconia	1:1
17.11.24	Mosconia - Caudal Deportivo	0:3
01.05.22	Mosconia - Caudal Deportivo	0:4
19.12.21	Caudal Deportivo - Mosconia	1:0
28.02.21	Caudal Deportivo - Mosconia	4:0
22.12.19	Mosconia - Caudal Deportivo	1:0

Caudal Deportivo - Mosconia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide