The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tuilla 19%
Draw 27.9%
Mosconia 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.7%
24.9%
59.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.4%
24.4%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tuilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mosconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mosconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tuilla - Mosconia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Sergio Rios ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tuilla won 3.
Tuilla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mosconia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Mosconia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tuilla won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tuilla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
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