Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Mosconia		Praviano

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.65
	1.89	3.13	4.31	Watch
	1.75	3	4.8
	1.68	3.22	5.11
	1.71	3.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	4.72 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosconia
52.1%

Draw
28.7%

Praviano
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.3%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Praviano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Mosconia - Praviano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Sergio Rios ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Berlanga M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Praviano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mosconia is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
14.12.25	Lenense - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Mosconia - San Martín	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Covadonga - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Mosconia - Avilés Stadium	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Llanera - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLWL
- CD Praviano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
13.12.25	Praviano - Ceares	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Caudal Deportivo - Praviano	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Navarro - Praviano	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Praviano - Gijón Industrial	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Tuilla - Praviano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.01.25	Mosconia - Praviano	1:0
09.09.24	Praviano - Mosconia	0:0
06.03.22	Mosconia - Praviano	2:4
17.10.21	Praviano - Mosconia	3:0
17.01.21	Mosconia - Praviano	0:1
02.12.20	Praviano - Mosconia	2:0
22.09.19	Mosconia - Praviano	1:1

Mosconia - Praviano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide