Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lenense |
|
Mosconia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.55 |
3.35 |
1.68 |
|
 |
5.22 |
3.5 |
1.64 |
|
 |
5.17 |
3.46 |
1.66 |
 Watch |
 |
5 |
3.3 |
1.67 |
|
 |
4.79 |
3.44 |
1.66 |
|
 |
5 |
3.5 |
1.62 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.96 ↑
(3.86) |
3.43 ↑
(3.42) |
1.66 ↓
(1.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lenense
18.4% | Draw
26.6% | Mosconia
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)Lenense - Mosconia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8).Recent form of Lenense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Mosconia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Mosconia is a strong favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Lenense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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