Match Info

Date: 16 May 2022, Monday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)


	Moss		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.15	4
	1.64	3.8	4.3
	1.65	4.37	4.38
	1.6	3.5	4.5
	1.51	4.33	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	4.03 ↓ (4.04)	4.47 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
56.9%

Draw
22.7%

Ørn-Horten
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

23%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

23.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moss that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Moss - Ørn Horten Predictions

Users Predictions: Moss will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Moss in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Moss is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Moss to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Moss won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Moss won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
07.05.22	Moss - Øygarden	3:1 ✺
01.05.22	Notodden - Moss	1:3 ✺
24.04.22	Moss - Ullern	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Vard Haugesund - Moss	1:3 ✺
10.04.22	Moss - Kvik Halden	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWWW
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
07.05.22	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Vard Haugesund - Ørn-Horten	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Ørn-Horten - Egersund	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Ullern - Ørn-Horten	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Ørn-Horten - Staal Jørpeland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.03.22	Moss - Ørn-Horten	3:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
10.09.16	Ørn-Horten - Moss	1:4
22.05.16	Moss - Ørn-Horten	4:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.10.15	Moss - Ørn-Horten	7:1

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