Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Moss		Skeid

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5.25
	1.66	3.7	4.4
	1.6	4.2	5	Watch
	1.61	4.13	5.29
	1.61	4.01	5.11	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.6	4.2	5.05	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)	4.02 ↑ (3.92)	4.93 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
57.8%

Draw
23.3%

Skeid
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

23.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

20.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moss that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skeid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Moss - Skeid Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moss (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Moss will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. E. (C) 2. Cassidy M. 4. Harrison K. 24. Welinder M. 23. Barros J. 8. Vold Krohg H. 6. Hapnes A. 21. Gronli S. 11. Jakobsen T. 10. Hegland B. 19. Memedov A.	1. Andersen M. (G) 22. Hoyland L. 4. Steiring P. (C) 3. Flo F. 11. Bojang S. 39. Rise B. 8. Yusuf H. 6. Naustdal T. 17. Saad Y. 10. Andersen M. 21. Lindback M.
Substitutes
49. Afonso M. 37. Antonsen M. 31. Cerrada G. 33. Dahl T. 26. Isufi B. 29. Mayonga M. 20. Sorensen K. 3. Strande K. 12. Sundling J. (G)	25. Dahlstrom L. 7. Fiksdal J. 16. Odemarksbakken K. 26. Sarotic D. 24. Solberg I. (G) 33. Stensland F. 18. Tjostheim E. 14. Toure O.
Coaches
Myhre T.	Rislaa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Hoyland L. 🟨,
28', Yusuf H. 🟨,
32', Lindback M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Hapnes A. ⚽,
40', Welinder M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lindback M. ↓, Fiksdal J. ↑,
46', Hoyland L. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Andersen M. ⚽, Fiksdal J. (A),
66', Rise B. ↓, Odemarksbakken K. ↑,
66', Yusuf H. ↓, Stensland F. ↑,
67', Gronli S. ↓, Afonso M. ↑,
78', Memedov A. ↓, Sorensen K. ↑,
78', Hegland B. ↓, Isufi B. ↑,
78', Welinder M. ↓, Strande K. ↑,
90', Naustdal T. 🟨,
90+2', Bojang S. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Sorensen K. ⚽, Afonso M. (A),
90+4', Andersen M. ↓, Tjostheim E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 2.

Moss has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Skeid has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Moss is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Moss won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Moss won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Odd - Moss	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Moss - Lyn	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Moss - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Moss	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Moss - Stabæk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW
- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Lyn - Skeid	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Skeid - Lillestrøm SK	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Stabæk - Skeid	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Skeid - Kongsvinger	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Alta - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.09.23	Moss - Skeid	3:0
03.05.23	Skeid - Moss	2:2
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Skeid - Moss	1:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.09.20	Moss - Skeid	Canceled
05.09.20	Moss - Skeid	2:5
Club Friendly
04.02.18	Skeid - Moss	3:3

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