Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 4

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Skeid		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	17	6	1.18	Watch
	4.1	3.6	1.73
	15	5.5	1.15	Watch
	11.5	5.5	1.22
	4.01	3.83	1.78	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	17	6.01	1.18	Watch
	15	5.5	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.98 ↑ (3.36)	4.93 ↑ (3.56)	1.39 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
9%

Draw
20%

Kongsvinger
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

26.2%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

25.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skeid's form might have worsened.

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kongsvinger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skeid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kongsvinger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Skeid - Kongsvinger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Kongsvinger (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kongsvinger will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kongsvinger will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kongsvinger (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersen M. (G) 22. Hoyland L. 4. Steiring P. (C) 23. Akinyemi A. 5. Ghaedamini K. 15. Hadzic A. 6. Naustdal T. 16. Odemarksbakken K. 39. Rise B. 10. Andersen M. 33. Stensland F.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 2. Nilsson J. 5. Holme F. 21. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 8. Grundt J. 6. Holter H. 27. Dybevik A. (C) 9. Haren L. 23. Vinjor M. 11. Williams N.
Substitutes
9. Delaveris F. 7. Fiksdal J. 3. Flo F. 21. Lindback M. 17. Saad Y. 18. Tjostheim E. 14. Toure O. 12. Vestbo E. A. (G) 8. Yusuf H.	40. Fjeld L. J. 17. Gjerstrom M. 18. Holtan J. 24. Overby A. 3. Saathof P. 20. Sandstad A. 67. Sethi L. 1. Stromberg A. (G) 7. Taylor E.
Coaches
Rislaa V.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Williams N. ⚽,
29', Akinyemi A. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Haren L. ⚽, Williams N. (A),
39', Rise B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Naustdal T. ↓, Delaveris F. ↑,
61', Holter H. 🟨,
62', 0 - 3, Vinjor M. ⚽, Haren L. (A),
63', Andersen M. ↓, Fiksdal J. ↑,
63', Rise B. ↓, Saad Y. ↑,
63', Akinyemi A. ↓, Flo F. ↑,
67', 0 - 4, Haren L. (Pen),
68', Vinjor M. ↓, Saathof P. ↑,
68', Holter H. ↓, Gjerstrom M. ↑,
68', Holme F. ↓, Holtan J. ↑,
74', Nielsen E. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
78', Odemarksbakken K. ↓, Lindback M. ↑,
83', 1 - 4, Stensland F. ⚽, Flo F. (A),
85', Haren L. ↓, Overby A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skeid won 1.

Skeid is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kongsvinger is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Skeid have a series of guest games.

Kongsvinger will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Skeid won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Skeid won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Alta - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Egersund - Skeid	4:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Union Carl Berner - Skeid	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.04.25	Skeid - Start	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Odd - Skeid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Elverum - Kongsvinger	2:7 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Kongsvinger - Moss	6:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.04.25	Ridabu - Kongsvinger	0:12 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.04.25	Hødd - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Kongsvinger - Åsane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.09.23	Skeid - Kongsvinger	1:2
16.05.23	Kongsvinger - Skeid	5:0
22.10.22	Skeid - Kongsvinger	4:0
11.04.22	Kongsvinger - Skeid	1:0
Club Friendly
05.06.21	Kongsvinger - Skeid	1:1
06.03.20	Skeid - Kongsvinger	0:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.08.19	Skeid - Kongsvinger	0:2

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