Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 6

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Skeid		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.75	1.33	Watch
	8	4.8	1.33
	8.5	5.5	1.33	Watch
	7.69	5.58	1.34
	7.79	5.16	1.35	Watch
	8	4.75	1.33
	7.41	5.68	1.32	Watch
	8.5	5.5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.92 ↑ (5.18)	5.34 ↑ (4.35)	1.33 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
11.9%

Draw
17.6%

Lillestrøm SK
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

21.6%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

21.1%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skeid's form might have worsened.

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillestrøm SK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skeid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Skeid - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Lillestrøm (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lillestrøm SK will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersen M. (G) 22. Hoyland L. 4. Steiring P. (C) 3. Flo F. 5. Ghaedamini K. 39. Rise B. 8. Yusuf H. 6. Naustdal T. 17. Saad Y. 10. Andersen M. 16. Odemarksbakken K.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 2. Ranger L. 5. Foss S. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 11. Elkaer F. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 15. Drammeh S. 33. Diop M. 20. Felix Va
Substitutes
27. Bakkane D. 11. Bojang S. 7. Fiksdal J. 21. Lindback M. 26. Sarotic D. 24. Solberg I. (G) 33. Stensland F. 18. Tjostheim E. 14. Toure O.	14. Adedeji J. 23. Asen G. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 18. Krygard K. 64. Larsson E. 21. Ogboji T. 10. Olsen T. 19. Tonnesen K. 27. Waehler M.
Coaches
Rislaa V.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ranger L. ↓, Larsson E. ↑,
45', Hoff V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Karlsbakk M. ⚽, Kitolano E. (A),
53', Rise B. ↓, Fiksdal J. ↑,
66', Diop M. ↓, Krygard K. ↑,
66', Elkaer F. ↓, Tonnesen K. ↑,
69', Yusuf H. ↓, Lindback M. ↑,
69', Odemarksbakken K. ↓, Stensland F. ↑,
74', Kitolano E. 🟨,
81', Foss S. 🟨,
85', Ghaedamini K. ↓, Bojang S. ↑,
85', Andersen M. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
85', Karlsbakk M. ↓, Asen G. ↑,
85', Drammeh S. ↓, Olsen T. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Fiksdal J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Skeid is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lillestrøm is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Skeid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Lillestrøm is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Skeid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.05.25	Stabæk - Skeid	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Skeid - Kongsvinger	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Alta - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Egersund - Skeid	4:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Union Carl Berner - Skeid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Grorud - Lillestrøm SK	2:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Moss	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Lyn - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Eidsvold Turn - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Stabæk - Lillestrøm SK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.02.25	Lillestrøm SK - Skeid	4:2
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Skeid - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ET

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