Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Commandant Ferradj (Mostaganem)


	Mostaganem		Magra

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.8	4
	1.78	3.1	5.2
	2.04	2.87	4.59
	1.79	3.02	5.69	Watch
	1.75	2.9	5.5
	1.73	3.05	5.67
	1.78	3.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)	2.98 ↓ (3.3)	5.12 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mostaganem
50.7%

Draw
31.2%

Magra
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Magra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magra than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Mostaganem - Magra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hannane A. (G) 8. Aoudjane C. 4. Benamar B. 5. Benlamri D. 22. Bouguettaya A. 18. Embarek O. 15. Ezzemani M. 17. Hitala R. 27. Meddah A. 26. Thamer N. 6. Zeghnoun M.	1. Cherif M. (G) 18. Bekakchi I. 24. Belkacemi A. 28. Berkane M. 25. Bouhakak K. 9. Bouzekri M. 10. Djabout A. 21. El Welly Y. 14. Hadded F. 6. Kemoukh Z. 4. Lakehal C.
Substitutes
9. Belkhadem M. 19. Bibi A. A. B. 14. Camara F. 11. Cherif S. 24. Hamri N. 12. Masmoudi B. 13. Moloko D. . Ouabdi W. (G) 3. Tamimi A.	23. Amrane F. 8. Baaziz K. 16. Benchlef I. (G) 22. Benmessabih M. 11. Demane A. . Demane H. 19. Harrari I. S. E. 3. Marouani M. 20. Zaitri Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
85', 🟥,
86', 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Recent matches Mostaganem is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Magra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mostaganem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mostaganem is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mostaganem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mostaganem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 1
19.04.25	Belouizdad - Mostaganem	3:2 ✺
10.04.25	Mostaganem - Olympique Akbou	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Biskra - Mostaganem	0:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
26.03.25	El Harrach - Mostaganem	2:1 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
14.03.25	Mostaganem - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLW
- NC Magra
Algerian Ligue 1
18.04.25	Magra - Saoura	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Magra - Khenchela	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Belouizdad - Magra	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Magra - El Bayadh	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Biskra - Magra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
16.11.24	Magra - Mostaganem	1:0
Algerian Ligue 2
18.01.19	Mostaganem - Magra	1:1

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