Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade Belhamiti Larbi (Mostaganem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Algeria	ENTV


	Mostaganem		Paradou

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.5
	2.31	3.1	2.97
	2.37	3.19	3	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.29	3.02	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.08)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	3.12 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mostaganem
40.5%

Draw
30.2%

Paradou
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

25.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Paradou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (+1%)

Mostaganem - Paradou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hannane A. (G) 27. Bahoussi A. 6. Benamara A. 4. Benamar B. (C) 2. Boualleg A. 10. El Moudene A. 12. Ezzemani M. 7. Motrani Z. 28. Namani A. 26. Sryer B. 20. Toumi M.	16. Moussaoui T. (G) 8. Abdelkader M. 22. Bendouma A. 17. Bisker M. 5. Bouzahzah O. 34. Bouziani S. E. 39. Chegra A. 35. Idder A. 24. Kermiche F. 7. Kohili B. A. 6. Salem H.
Substitutes
40. Aziria M. 39. Ben Zina A. 19. Bibi A. A. B. 38. Bin Mahdi A. 21. Gaagaa A. 24. Khodja E. K. 31. Laireche F. H. 11. Othmani A. 42. Ramadan R.	9. Ait El Hadj M. 60. Al Qubbi M. (G) 28. Ben Hamed Y. 29. Pasa A. 23. Reguieg M. 19. Tahar M. 26. Tahar T. 27. Zabaiou D. 12. Zaoui S. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Bendouma A. ⚽,
13', 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Toumi M. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 1, Motrani Z. ⚽,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 2 - 2, Kohili B. A. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, El Moudene A. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Mostaganem is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mostaganem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mostaganem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 1
13.03.26	ASO Chlef - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mostaganem - MC Alger	0:5 ✺
28.02.26	ES Sétif - Mostaganem	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mostaganem - Kabylie	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Rouissat - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Paradou AC
Algerian Ligue 1
13.03.26	Paradou - MC Alger	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Kabylie - Paradou	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Paradou - Oran	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Olympique Akbou - Paradou	4:3 ✺
14.02.26	Paradou - Ben Aknoun	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
26.10.25	Paradou - Mostaganem	1:0
21.06.25	Paradou - Mostaganem	1:3
26.12.24	Mostaganem - Paradou	0:2
Algerian Cup
28.04.23	Paradou - Mostaganem	2:1

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