Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 14

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Motala		Vänersborgs FK

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.10	4.75
	1.62	3.60	4.10
	1.52	3.79	5.23
	1.68	3.8	4.37
	1.50	3.75	5.15
	1.47	4.35	5.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	3.9 ↑ (3.75)	4.8 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motala
58.1%

Draw
23.1%

Vänersborgs FK
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motala's performance.

Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Motala - Vänersborgs FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

In recent matches, Motala has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vänersborgs FK has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vänersborgs FK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Motala is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motala won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Motala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Vanersborgs FK	24	8	4	12	30:40	-10	28
10	Motala	24	6	8	10	35:38	-3	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
21.06.26	Karlstad II - Motala	1:3 ✺
11.06.26	Motala - Kumla	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Herrestads - Motala	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Motala - Vänersborgs IF	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Grebbestad - Motala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWL
- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.06.26	Vänersborgs FK - Stenungsunds	2:4 ✺
14.06.26	Husqvarna - Vänersborgs FK	3:1 ✺
05.06.26	Vänersborgs FK - Skara	1:3 ✺
29.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Grebbestad	2:3 ✺
22.05.26	Herrestads - Vänersborgs FK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
03.04.26	Vänersborgs FK - Motala	0:1
18.10.25	Motala - Vänersborgs FK	0:1
22.06.25	Vänersborgs FK - Motala	1:4
22.09.24	Motala - Vänersborgs FK	2:0
02.06.24	Vänersborgs FK - Motala	2:2

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