Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q League Asia, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport Austria 6
Belarus	22:00	Sport TV
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 6
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	16:00	ESPN 3
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 3
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 9
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:00	Claro Sports
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 3
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Celtic TV, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Benfica		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	12
	1.18	8.00	11.50
	1.18	7.7	15
	1.21	8.11	12.83
	1.22	7.8	12	Watch
	1.17	7.95	12
	1.2	7.9	14.2
	1.19	7.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.28)	7.85 ↑ (5.9)	12.69 ↑ (9.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
80.2%

Draw
12.2%

Celtic
7.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.1%

16.1%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Benfica - Celtic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Benfica (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 44. Araujo T. 2. Lenglet C. 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. (C) 36. Palhinha J. 11. Lukebakio D. 10. Sudakov G. 25. Prestianni G. 22. Duran J.	1. Sinisalo V. (G) 51. Donovan C. 47. Murray D. 6. Trusty A. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 22. Baur M. 11. Duran C. 18. Sorensen O. 17. Tounekti S. 9. Hogh K.
Substitutes
72. Anisio 18. Barreiro L. 3. Circati A. 30. Echeverri C. 34. El Karouani S. 88. Freitas T. 33. Gabriel Indio 16. Manu Silva 14. Pavlidis V. 27. Rafa Silva 21. Schjelderup A. 24. Soares S. (G)	62. Cleary L. 49. Forrest J. 23. Hassan H. 26. Johnstone S. (G) 65. Kennedy L. 3. Lotomba J. 14. McCowan L. 8. Nygren B. 19. Osmand C. 21. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 56. Ralston A. 5. Scales L.
Coaches
Silva M.	O'Neill Ma.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Duran J. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 2 - 0, Bah A. ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Duran J. ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
44', Dahl S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hogh K. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
46', Tounekti S. ↓, Osmand C. ↑,
57', Baur M. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↑,
57', Sorensen O. ↓, Kennedy L. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Duran C. ⚽, Hassan H. (A),
64', Sudakov G. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
64', Dahl S. ↓, El Karouani S. ↑,
67', Duran J. ↓, Pavlidis V. ↑,
67', Lukebakio D. ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
69', Bah A. 🟨,
77', Donovan C. ↓, Lotomba J. ↑,
80', Bah A. ↓, Circati A. ↑,
85', Palhinha J. 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),

Preview

Benfica has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Celtic have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Benfica as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Benfica: Banjaqui D. (Muscle Injury) Barrenechea E. (Injury) Kaminski J. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Health problems) Duran C. (Personal Reasons) Johnston A. (Leg Injury) Mheuka S. (Off the roster) Osmand C. (Ankle Injury) van den Berg J. (Off the roster).

Doubtful / questionable for Celtic: Yang Hyun-Jun (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Benfica has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Benfica against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	10:2	8	9
35	Celtic	3	0	0	3	3:9	-6	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Benfica: 10.9% Celtic: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
11.10.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Porto - Benfica	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Milan - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.09.26	Benfica - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Moreirense - Benfica	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
11.10.26	Motherwell - Celtic	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Celtic - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
13.09.26	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	3:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.09.26	St. Johnstone - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.11.12	Benfica - Celtic	2:1
19.09.12	Celtic - Benfica	0:0

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