Match Info

Premiership - Championship Group - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Ireland	NOW
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1, Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
World	Onefootball


	Celtic		Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.2	5	Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.95	Watch
	1.62	4.2	5.12
	1.63	4.03	5.04	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.61	4.2	5.01	Watch
	1.65	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	4.99 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
58.4%

Draw
22.8%

Hearts
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Celtic - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Hearts (4.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sinisalo V. (G) 2. Johnston A. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 27. Engels A. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 8. Nygren B. 23. Tounekti S. 38. Maeda D.	25. Schwolow A. (G) 3. Kingsley S. 15. Steinwender M. 19. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. 89. Kyziridis A. 14. Devlin C. 6. Baningime B. 23. Altena J. 9. Shankland L. (C) 11. Kabore P.
Substitutes
31. Doohan R. (G) 49. Forrest J. 17. Iheanacho K. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 19. Osmand C. 21. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 56. Ralston A. 36. Saracchi M.	12. Borchgrevink C. 10. Braga C. 99. Chesnokov I. 17. Forrest A. 30. Fulton R. (G) 2. Kent F. 29. Kerjota S. 5. McCart J. 16. Spittal B.
Coaches
O'Neill Ma.	McInnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', Johnston A. 🟨,
38', Steinwender M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Shankland L. ⚽, Kingsley S. (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Engels A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tounekti S. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
47', Altena J. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
51', Baningime B. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
53', Nygren B. 🟨,
58', Trusty A. 🟨,
62', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
67', Kyziridis A. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
68', Kabore P. ↓, Braga C. ↑,
68', Milne H. ↓, Chesnokov I. ↑,
73', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
73', Trusty A. ↓, Osmand C. ↑,
77', Findlay S. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Maeda D. ⚽, Osmand C. (A),
90', Nygren B. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
90+4', Shankland L. 🟨,
90+4', Saracchi M. 🟨,
90+6', Maeda D. 🟨,
90+7', McGregor C. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 1, Osmand C. ⚽, McGregor C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 2.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Celtic is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Celtic: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cvancara T. (Groin Injury) Donovan C. (Inactive) Jota (Knee Injury) Schmeichel K. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Thigh Injury) Halkett C. (Inactive) Leonard M. (Inactive) Magnusson T. (Broken cheekbone) McEntee O. (Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Celtic: Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Gordon C. (Shoulder Injury)

We predict that Celtic will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 45:23. (average 2.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Celtic won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.2:0.8).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Celtic: 53.71% Hearts: 4.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14:4	10	18
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
13.05.26	Motherwell - Celtic	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hibernian - Celtic	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Celtic - Falkirk	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
19.04.26	Celtic - St. Mirren	6:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
13.05.26	Hearts - Falkirk	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Motherwell - Hearts	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Hibernian - Hearts	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hearts - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
25.01.26	Hearts - Celtic	2:2
07.12.25	Celtic - Hearts	1:2
26.10.25	Hearts - Celtic	3:1
29.03.25	Celtic - Hearts	3:0
23.11.24	Hearts - Celtic	1:4
14.09.24	Celtic - Hearts	2:0
04.05.24	Celtic - Hearts	3:0

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