Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Fir Park (Motherwell)


	Motherwell		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.78
	5.15	4.05	1.55
	4.77	4	1.58
	9.51	5.80	1.26	Watch
	5.31	3.94	1.64	Watch
	3.98	3.82	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (3.67)	4.2 ↑ (3.6)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motherwell
17.8%

Draw
22.8%

Hertha Berlin
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

26.9%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motherwell's form might have worsened.

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hertha Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motherwell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hertha Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Motherwell - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Hertha (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ward C. (G) 45. Emmanuel M. L. 12. Fadinger L. 4. Gordon L. 21. Just E. 22. Koutroumbis J. 18. Maswanhise T. 16. McGinn P. (C) 8. Slattery C. 9. Stamatelopoulos A. 20. Watt E.	1. Ernst T. (G) 10. Cuisance M. 31. Dardai M. 6. Demme D. 2. Eitschberger J. 33. Karbownik M. 14. Krattenmacher M. 37. Leistner T. 11. Reese F. (C) 24. Thorsteinsson J. D. 42. Zeefuik D.
Substitutes
11. Halliday A. 2. O'Donnell S. . Oxborough A. (G) 90. Said I.	47. Berner J. 26. Hildebrandt N. 43. Ozkanli B. (G) 12. Smarsch D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Reese F. (Pen),
23', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 1, Stamatelopoulos A. ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Motherwell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hertha is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motherwell FC
Scottish League Cup
22.07.25	Motherwell - Greenock Morton	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Stenhousemuir - Motherwell	0:1 ✺
15.07.25	Motherwell - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Clyde - Motherwell	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Twente - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL
- Hertha Berlin
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Austria Wien - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Hertha Berlin - İstanbul Başakşehir	Canceled ✺
13.07.25	Brøndby - Hertha Berlin	1:0 ✺
08.07.25	Hertha Berlin - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Hertha Berlin	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?LWW

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