The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stenhousemuir 16%
Draw 22.2%
Motherwell 61.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.7%
17.9%
71.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.1%
11.9%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stenhousemuir's performance.
Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motherwell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motherwell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stenhousemuir - Motherwell Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. (C) 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 14. Bilham K. 8. Robson F. 17. Anderson M. 11. O'Donnell L. 21. Hodgkiss L. 24. Grant L. 22. Shinnie A.
21. Matty Connelly (G) 24. Ross L. 4. Knight-Lebel J. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. (C) 23. Wilson E. 25. Whyte O. 71. Hodge J. 77. Vogt W. 27. Booth M. 19. Said I. 18. Maswanhise T.
Substitutes
9. Aitken M. 4. Buchanan G. 6. Graham A. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) . Jamieson N. 37. MacIntyre O. 7. O'Reilly E. 25. Scally S. 20. Stevenson G.
17. Charles-Cook R. 8. Fadinger L. 22. Koutroumbis J. 45. Longelo E. 11. Lowry A. 29. McAllister Z. 5. Moormann M. 1. Paulsen A. (G) 36. Weir L.
Coaches
Bartley M.
Johansson A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Said I. 🟨,
45', Bilham K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Said I. ↓, Longelo E. ↑,
46', Wilson E. ↓, Lowry A. ↑,
62', Maswanhise T. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
62', Hodge J. ↓, Fadinger L. ↑,
65', Bilham K. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
65', Hodgkiss L. ↓, Stevenson G. ↑,
75', Shinnie A. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
80', Anderson M. ↓, Buchanan G. ↑,
85', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, Moormann M. ↑,
90+3', Fadinger L. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Grant L. ↓, Aitken M. ↑,
104', Meechan R. 🟨,
105', Whyte O. ↓, McAllister Z. ↑,
105', O'Donnell L. ↓, Graham A. ↑,
107', Vogt W. 🟨,
114', 1 - 0, O'Reilly E. ⚽,
117', Aitken M. 🟨,
119', O'Reilly E. 🟨,
Preview
Stenhousemuir has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Motherwell is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Motherwell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Motherwell is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stenhousemuir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Including home match between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.