Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday


	Moto Club de São Luís		Castanhal

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.98
	4.1	3.1	1.85
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.19	3.02	2.17
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.06	3.14	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.21)	3.04 ↑ (2.83)	2.04 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moto Club de São Luís
26%

Draw
29.7%

Castanhal
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moto Club de São Luís's form might have worsened.

Castanhal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castanhal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moto Club de São Luís, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castanhal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	27.3%	27.3%

Moto Club de São Luís - Castanhal Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moto Club will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Castanhal will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moto Club: 16.1% – 74.9%.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Moto Club could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Castanhal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.22	4 de Julho - Moto Club de São Luís	2:1 ✺
02.07.22	SE Juventude - Moto Club de São Luís	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Tocantinópolis	1:2 ✺
11.06.22	Fluminense Piaui - Moto Club de São Luís	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTLW
- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.22	Castanhal - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Fluminense Piaui - Castanhal	3:1 ✺
25.06.22	Castanhal - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	0:3 ✺
11.06.22	SE Juventude - Castanhal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.04.22	Castanhal - Moto Club de São Luís	3:0
19.09.21	Castanhal - Moto Club de São Luís	1:2
12.09.21	Moto Club de São Luís - Castanhal	2:0

Moto Club de São Luís - Castanhal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide