The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moto Club de São Luís 26%
Draw 29.7%
Castanhal 44.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
31.4%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
29.2%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moto Club de São Luís's form might have worsened.
Castanhal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castanhal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moto Club de São Luís, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castanhal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
27.3%
27.3%
Moto Club de São Luís - Castanhal Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Moto Club will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Castanhal will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Moto Club: 16.1% – 74.9%.
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Preview
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Moto Club could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Castanhal will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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