Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	4 de Julho		Moto Club de São Luís

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.3
	3.4	2.55	2.35
	2.85	3	2.24
	3.12	3.15	2.14
	3.1	2.9	2.15
	2.86	3.1	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.78)	2.93 ↑ (2.71)	2.27 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

4 de Julho
29.6%

Draw
30.7%

Moto Club de São Luís
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

33%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

4 de Julho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moto Club de São Luís's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moto Club de São Luís, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

4 de Julho - Moto Club de São Luís Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. 4 de Julho will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Moto Club will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

#ad

Preview

4 de Julho is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Moto Club is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moto Club will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches 4 de Julho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams 4 de Julho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 4 de Julho EC
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - 4 de Julho	2:1 ✺
25.06.22	Castanhal - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	4 de Julho - Fluminense Piaui	1:2 ✺
11.06.22	Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
04.06.22	4 de Julho - SE Juventude	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLTT
- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.22	SE Juventude - Moto Club de São Luís	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Tocantinópolis	1:2 ✺
11.06.22	Fluminense Piaui - Moto Club de São Luís	2:3 ✺
05.06.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
24.04.22	Moto Club de São Luís - 4 de Julho	3:0
31.07.21	Moto Club de São Luís - 4 de Julho	1:0
10.07.21	4 de Julho - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0

4 de Julho - Moto Club de São Luís