Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 9

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday


	Moto Club de São Luís		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.54	3.66	5.34
	1.55	3.66	5.34
	1.5	3.6	5.8
	1.54	3.66	5.75
	1.55	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.93)	3.67 ↑ (3.1)	5.46 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moto Club de São Luís
58.8%

Draw
24.7%

Fluminense Piaui
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moto Club de São Luís's performance.

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense Piaui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moto Club de São Luís that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense Piaui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Moto Club de São Luís - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moto Club will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Moto Club could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moto Club is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Serie D
12.06.24	Ríver PI - Moto Club de São Luís	1:3 ✺
09.06.24	Moto Club de São Luís - Ríver PI	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Fluminense Piaui - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Moto Club de São Luís - Águia de Marabá	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Cametá - Moto Club de São Luís	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTTL
- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Serie D
13.06.24	Fluminense Piaui - Cametá	2:2 ✺
09.06.24	Cametá - Fluminense Piaui	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Fluminense Piaui - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Altos - Fluminense Piaui	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Fluminense Piaui - Ríver PI	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.06.24	Fluminense Piaui - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2
11.06.22	Fluminense Piaui - Moto Club de São Luís	2:3
22.05.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Fluminense Piaui	3:2

Moto Club de São Luís - Fluminense Piaui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide